A Florida Poll That Should Change the Way You Look at the Election
A big Trump lead in the state paradoxically adds to evidence of a smaller Electoral College edge for him. And a choice by pollsters may be causing them to miss state shifts.
Want to follow election results like a pro? Here’s what to watch in key states
The key to a close race in Michigan is to wait for Wayne, Oakland, and Washtenaw counties to release significant batches of votes before jumping to any conclusions. Wayne includes Detroit, while Oakland is made up of the city’s northern suburbs. Washtenaw County is home to Ann Arbor and the University of Michigan.
How a poll can represent your opinion even if you weren’t contacted for it
Pollsters do not talk to every single person in the country, so the results have some amount of error. The margin of error is a reminder that each finding is not exactly precise. It also is a guide for understanding how big the range of responses could be.
Kamala Harris Leading Donald Trump in Four Battleground States: Poll
Is Harris or Trump the ‘change’ candidate in election? What Americans said in new poll
Slightly more Americans see Vice President Kamala Harris as representing change compared to former President Donald Trump, according to new polling. In the latest New York Times/Siena poll, 46% of respondents said Harris embodies change more, while 44% said the same of Trump.
The most important election of a lifetime? Women weigh in on Trump, Harris in new poll
‘Very tight’: Data reporter breaks down poll numbers weeks before the election
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten breaks down recent polling in battleground states.
Georgia group that pushes election misinformation gains influence with election officials
New rules in Georgia that some officials fear could inject chaos into November’s election have links to a controversial group that has gained outsized influence in the Peach State.
Texas’ new poll watcher protections will be put to the test in 2024 election
Republicans have enlisted legions of poll watchers in Texas and across the country ahead of the Nov. 5 election, a move they say will safeguard against potential election fraud. The situation reflects a national debate in which Republicans warn about the need to combat election fraud,
How AP VoteCast works, and how it’s different from an exit poll
When it comes to understanding elections, it’s not just about who won and lost. To explain what really happened, it’s important to understand who voted and how, what they cared about and how they felt about important issues facing the country.
Three Things to Look For in Any Election Poll
A general rule of thumb is that a national poll with 800 to 1,000 respondents provides a decent level of confidence that the sample is representative, though state-level polls can have smaller sample sizes and still be statistically sound.
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Pennsylvanians have the most trust in local election results, poll shows
Many Republican voters in Pennsylvania say they aren’t confident the 2024 presidential election results will be counted fairly.
Harris takes lead in NYT poll; is seen as more likely than Trump to represent change
Vice President Harris took a slim lead against former President Trump in the latest national survey conducted by The New York Times and Siena College. The poll, released Tuesday, shows Harris with
Election conspiracy theories fueled a push to hand-count votes, but doing so is risky and slow
Donald Trump and many Republican elected officials say they want to have ballots counted by hand rather than trusting machines to tabulate the vote