A big Trump lead in the state paradoxically adds to evidence of a smaller Electoral College edge for him. And a choice by pollsters may be causing them to miss state shifts.

Republicans have enlisted legions of poll watchers in Texas and across the country ahead of the Nov. 5 election, a move they say will safeguard against potential election fraud. The situation reflects a national debate in which Republicans warn about the need to combat election fraud,

Slightly more Americans see Vice President Kamala Harris as representing change compared to former President Donald Trump, according to new polling. In the latest New York Times/Siena poll, 46% of respondents said Harris embodies change more, while 44% said the same of Trump.

A general rule of thumb is that a national poll with 800 to 1,000 respondents provides a decent level of confidence that the sample is representative, though state-level polls can have smaller sample sizes and still be statistically sound.

Republicans enjoy an advantage in the current election environment because more U.S. adults lean GOP and believe the party is better equipped to handle the country’s most important issues, according to a new poll.

Harris led by 2 points in Michigan (48 percent to 46), and a point in Nevada (48 percent to 47), Pennsylvania (48 percent to 47), and Wisconsin (47 percent to 46). In Georgia the candidates are tied at 47 percent. Trump leads by one point in Arizona (48 percent to 47 percent) and 2 points in North Carolina (47 percent to 45 percent).

Chances are, you’ve never been contacted for an election poll. But the dozens of high-quality election polls that will be released before Election Day represent a reasonable estimate of the opinions of all Americans.

California, the nation’s most populous state, is consistently among the slowest to report all its election results. Florida, the third-most populous state, is generally among the first to finish.

The poll also found that the majority of women, 59%, have become more interested in politics in the last several years. In contrast, 16% said their interest has decreased for this election cycle. Similarly, engagement in politics has gone up among women.

The presidential election in the United States will have global ramifications. Do scientists around the world care who wins? Will the outcome affect you?

Many Republican voters in Pennsylvania say they aren’t confident the 2024 presidential election results will be counted fairly.