The COVID-19 inflation surge experienced abroad undoubtedly left its mark on U.S. inflation. As global economies return to ...

During the post-pandemic period, the vacancy-unemployment ratio was at historically high levels, but the strength of overall ...

We examine the impact of systematic media reporting on household inflation expectations, focusing on how selective news ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Monetary Policy Surprises data capture the exogenous changes in interest rates over tight windows around the monetary policy announcements ...

Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Treasury Yield Skewness is a daily indicator measuring the risks to the future outlook for interest rates, based on prices of Treasury ...

Consumers’ perceptions of labor market conditions have historically aligned closely with the unemployment rate. However, the two diverged during the pandemic, when the unemployment rate spiked while ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Market-Based Monetary Uncertainty provides daily indicators measuring the uncertainty about future short-term interest rates based on ...

Mary C. Daly in conversation with Carolyn Holly at Boise State University. San Francisco Fed President Mary C. Daly discussed monetary policy, Idaho’s growing economy, and the Fed’s commitment to its ...

This research brief employs mortgage data from the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) to examine the homebuying patterns of ...

Cash transfers are important fiscal policy tools for both advanced and developing countries. A study of one of the world’s largest cash transfer programs—Brazil’s Bolsa Familia—highlights the ...